Author/Editor		Hurst, John R; Vestbo, Joergen; Anzueto, Antonio; Košnik, Mitja
Title		Susceptibility to exacerbation in chronic obstructive pulmonary disease
Type		članek
Source		N Engl J Med therapy/*physiopathology
Vol. and No.		Letnik 363, št. 12
Publication year		2010
Volume		str. 1128-38
Language		eng
Abstract		Background: Although we know that exacerbations are key events in chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), our understanding of their frequency, determinants, and effects is incomplete. In a large observational cohort, we tested the hypothesis that there is a frequent-exacerbation phenotype of COPD that is independent of disease severity. Methods: We analyzed the frequency and associations of exacerbation in 2138 patients enrolled in the Evaluation of COPD Longitudinally to Identify Predictive Surrogate Endpoints (ECLIPSE) study. Exacerbations were defined as events that led a care provider to prescribe antibiotics or corticosteroids (or both) or that led to hospitalization (severe exacerbations). Exacerbation frequency was observed over a period of 3 years. Results: Exacerbations became more frequent (and more severe) as the severity of COPD increased; exacerbation rates in the first year of follow-up were 0.85 per person for patients with stage 2 COPD (with stage defined in accordance with Global Initiative for Chronic Obstructive Lung Disease [GOLD] stages), 1.34 for patients with stage 3, and 2.00 for patients with stage 4. Overall, 22% of patients with stage 2 disease, 33% with stage 3, and 47% with stage 4 had frequent exacerbations (two or more in the first year of follow-up). The single best predictor of exacerbations, across all GOLD stages, was a history of exacerbations. The frequent-exacerbation phenotype appeared to be relatively stable over a period of 3 years and could be predicted on the basis of the patient's recall of previous treated events. In addition to its association with more severe disease and prior exacerbations, the phenotype was independently associated with a history of gastroesophageal reflux or heartburn, poorer quality of life, and elevated white-cell count. (Abs. trunc. at 2000 ch.)
Descriptors		ADRENAL CORTEX HORMONES ADULT AGED DISEASE SUSCEPTIBILITY LOGISTIC MODELS LONGITUDINAL STUDIES PHENOTYPE RECURRENCE RISK FACTORS SEVERITY OF ILLNESS INDEX